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Author Topic: UN Climate Agreement - Paris 2015 and beyond  (Read 233621 times)

AbruptSLR

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Re: UN Climate Agreement - Paris 2015 and beyond
« Reply #1300 on: November 13, 2017, 10:53:37 AM »
Anthropogenic CO₂ emissions are projected to increase in 2017 primarily due to increased coal use in China:

Title: "First CO2 rise in four years puts pressure on Paris targets"

http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-41941265

Extract: "Global emissions of CO2 in 2017 are projected to rise for the first time in four years, dashing hopes that a peak might soon be reached.

The main cause of the expected growth has been greater use of coal in China as its economy expanded.

Researchers are uncertain if the rise in emissions is a one-off or the start of a new period of CO2 build-up."
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
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AbruptSLR

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Re: UN Climate Agreement - Paris 2015 and beyond
« Reply #1301 on: November 13, 2017, 04:35:13 PM »
If we don't know what the rules are and we don't know how to monitor compliance, then how do we know who is cheating on GHG emissions?

Title: "COP23: Writing the Paris accord rule book"

http://www.dw.com/en/cop23-writing-the-paris-accord-rule-book/a-41200149

Extract: "Two years after the world committed to climate action in Paris, negotiators are still trying to figure out the nuts and bolts of the global deal to limit global warming to less than 2 degrees Celsius.

A big part of that is developing a plan to monitor and verify the pledges made by nearly 200 countries to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. During the two-week long COP23 talks in Bonn, negotiators are focusing, in part, on developing a system to make those measurements.

Writing that rule book is no easy task, says University of Edinburgh climate scientist Paul Palmer, part of an international team that assesses heat-trapping gases in the atmosphere.

"We need to measure carefully. We'll be looking for small, gradual reductions of large numbers, so we need to make sure we get the numbers right," Palmer told DW."
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
― Leon C. Megginson

pileus

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Re: UN Climate Agreement - Paris 2015 and beyond
« Reply #1302 on: November 13, 2017, 04:38:27 PM »
Anthropogenic CO₂ emissions are projected to increase in 2017 primarily due to increased coal use in China:

Title: "First CO2 rise in four years puts pressure on Paris targets"

http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-41941265

Extract: "Global emissions of CO2 in 2017 are projected to rise for the first time in four years, dashing hopes that a peak might soon be reached.

The main cause of the expected growth has been greater use of coal in China as its economy expanded.

Researchers are uncertain if the rise in emissions is a one-off or the start of a new period of CO2 build-up."

Looks like the expectation is for an increase in 2018 on top of 2017.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/amphtml/news/energy-environment/wp/2017/11/13/fossil-fuel-emissions-projected-to-reach-an-all-time-high-in-2017-dashing-hopes-of-progress/

The emissions from fossil fuel burning and industrial uses are projected to rise by up to 2 percent in 2017, as well as to rise again in 2018, the scientists told a group of international officials gathered for a United Nations climate conference in Bonn, Germany.

Despite global economic growth, total emissions held level from 2014 to 2016 at about 36 billion tons per year, stoking hope among many climate change advocates that emissions had reached an all-time high point and would subsequently begin to decline. But that was not to be, the new analysis suggests.

“The temporary hiatus appears to have ended in 2017,” wrote Stanford University’s Rob Jackson, who along with colleagues at the Global Carbon Project tracked 2017 emissions to date and projected them forward. “Economic projections suggest further emissions growth in 2018 is likely.”

Sigmetnow

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Re: UN Climate Agreement - Paris 2015 and beyond
« Reply #1303 on: November 13, 2017, 09:11:32 PM »
Bonn:

At U.S. "clean fossil fuels" event nearly entire room began protesting & got thrown out.

Here's inside vs. outside now. #COP23  #WeThePeople
https://twitter.com/collinrees/status/930136107521585152

Two photos at link.  :)
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Sigmetnow

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Re: UN Climate Agreement - Paris 2015 and beyond
« Reply #1304 on: November 13, 2017, 09:25:18 PM »
Fossil fuel emissions hit record high after unexpected growth: Global Carbon Budget 2017
...
Yet despite this year’s uptick, economies are now decarbonising with a momentum that was difficult to imagine just a decade ago. There are now 22 countries, for example, for which CO₂ emissions have declined over the past decade while their economies have continued to grow.

Concerns have been raised in the past about countries simply moving their emissions outside their borders. But since 2007, the total emissions outsourced by countries with emissions targets under the Kyoto Protocol (that is, developed countries, including the US) has declined.

This suggests that the downward trends in emissions of the past decade are driven by real changes to economies and energy systems, and not just to offshoring emissions.
...
https://theconversation.com/fossil-fuel-emissions-hit-record-high-after-unexpected-growth-global-carbon-budget-2017-87248
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ivica

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Re: UN Climate Agreement - Paris 2015 and beyond
« Reply #1305 on: November 13, 2017, 11:12:49 PM »
“Warning to Humanity”

More than 15,000 scientists from 184 countries have issued a warning: Mankind must take immediate action to reverse the effects of climate change, deforestation and species extinction before it’s too late.

A preprint of the paper/warning here, Alliance of World Scientists here.

Note about "Warning" also posted by ASLR at Conservative Scientists & its Consequences.
« Last Edit: November 13, 2017, 11:25:05 PM by ivica »

Sigmetnow

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Re: UN Climate Agreement - Paris 2015 and beyond
« Reply #1306 on: November 14, 2017, 03:17:47 PM »
'Tobacco at a cancer summit': Trump coal push savaged at climate conference
The US administration’s attempt to portray fossil fuels as vital to reducing poverty and saving US jobs is ridiculed in Bonn
The Trump team was heckled and interrupted by a protest song at the UN’s climate change summit in Bonn on Monday after using its only official appearance to say fossil fuels were vital to reducing poverty around the world and to saving jobs in the US.

While Donald Trump’s special adviser on energy and environment, David Banks, said cutting emissions was a US priority, “energy security, economic prosperity are higher priorities”, he said. “The president has a responsibility to protect jobs and industry across the country.”

Other attendees at the summit condemned the argument.

“Promoting coal at a climate summit is like promoting tobacco at a cancer summit,” said Michael Bloomberg, the former New York mayor and a UN special envoy for cities and climate change.

Benson Kibiti, from the Kenya Climate Working Group, said: “More coal will entrench poverty.” ...
https://amp.theguardian.com/environment/2017/nov/13/bonn-climate-summit-trump-fossil-fuels-protest
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gerontocrat

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Re: UN Climate Agreement - Paris 2015 and beyond
« Reply #1307 on: November 14, 2017, 03:44:59 PM »
'Tobacco at a cancer summit': Trump coal push savaged at climate conference
The US administration’s attempt to portray fossil fuels as vital to reducing poverty and saving US jobs is ridiculed in Bonn
The Trump team was heckled and interrupted by a protest song at the UN’s climate change summit in Bonn on Monday after using its only official appearance to say fossil fuels were vital to reducing poverty around the world and to saving jobs in the US.

While Donald Trump’s special adviser on energy and environment, David Banks, said cutting emissions was a US priority, “energy security, economic prosperity are higher priorities”, he said. “The president has a responsibility to protect jobs and industry across the country.”

Other attendees at the summit condemned the argument.

“Promoting coal at a climate summit is like promoting tobacco at a cancer summit,” said Michael Bloomberg, the former New York mayor and a UN special envoy for cities and climate change.

Benson Kibiti, from the Kenya Climate Working Group, said: “More coal will entrench poverty.” ...
https://amp.theguardian.com/environment/2017/nov/13/bonn-climate-summit-trump-fossil-fuels-protest

BUT where is the official transcript of the US submission / statement to COP23 ? I can't find it.
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AbruptSLR

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Re: UN Climate Agreement - Paris 2015 and beyond
« Reply #1308 on: November 14, 2017, 05:24:09 PM »
While China is busy filling the leadership vacuum created by the Trump Administration at COP 23, we should all be aware that China is currently planning on partially meeting its economic growth plans and its Paris Pledges by outsourcing its dirty industries to surrounding nations via the "One Belt One Road Initiative".

In this regards, I provide the following linked information about 'Make China Great Again' (see the first attached image).

Title: "What Xi Jinping Wants"

https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2017/05/what-china-wants/528561/

Extract: "China’s leader is determined to turn his country into “the biggest player in the history of the world.” Can he do it while avoiding a dangerous collision with America?

Xi is so convinced he will succeed in this quest that he has blatantly flouted a cardinal rule for political survival: Never state a target objective and a specific date in the same sentence. Within a month of becoming China’s leader in 2012, Xi specified deadlines for meeting each of his “Two Centennial Goals.” First, China will build a “moderately prosperous society” by doubling its 2010 per capita GDP to $10,000 by 2021, when it celebrates the 100th anniversary of the Chinese Communist Party. Second, it will become a “fully developed, rich, and powerful” nation by the 100th anniversary of the People's Republic in 2049. If China reaches the first goal— which it is on course to do—the IMF estimates that its economy will be 40 percent larger than that of the U.S. (measured in terms of purchasing power parity). If China meets the second target by 2049, its economy will be triple America's."

&

Title: "Why China aims to be number one superpower by 2049

http://www.oxfordtoday.ox.ac.uk/features/why-china-aims-be-number-one-superpower-2049

Extract: "The seeds of world ambition are historical but it would be reckless to dismiss them, says Oxford analyst Tom Miller."

&

See also the linked Wikipedia articles entitled "Two Centenaries" & " Chinese Dream":

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Two_Centenaries
&
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_Dream

See also the second attached image, and the following linked Wikipedia article on China's One Belt One Road Initiative:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One_Belt_One_Road_Initiative
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
― Leon C. Megginson

Sigmetnow

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Re: UN Climate Agreement - Paris 2015 and beyond
« Reply #1309 on: November 14, 2017, 09:13:42 PM »
Today, Nov 14:
15,364 scientists from 184 countries—the most scientists that have ever jointly published anything, in history—declared "time is running out.”


"We must recognize, in our day-to-day lives...that Earth with all its life is our only home."

http://scientists.forestry.oregonstate.edu/sites/sw/files/Ripple_et_al_warning_2017.pdf
https://twitter.com/ericholthaus/status/930493729739366401

From the paper:
... Moreover, we have unleashed a mass extinction event, the sixth in roughly 540 million years, wherein many current life forms could be annihilated or at least committed to extinction by the end of this century.

Humanity is now being given a second notice, as illustrated by these alarming trends.... We are jeopardizing our future by not reining in our intense but geographically and demographically uneven material consumption and by not perceiving continued rapid population growth as a primary driver behind many ecological and even societal threats (Crist et al. 2017). By failing to adequately limit population growth, reassess the role of an economy rooted in growth, reduce greenhouse gases, incentivize renewable energy, protect habitat, restore ecosystems, curb pollution, halt defaunation, and constrain invasive alien species, humanity is not taking the urgent steps needed to safeguard our imperilled biosphere.
...
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Pmt111500

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Re: UN Climate Agreement - Paris 2015 and beyond
« Reply #1310 on: November 15, 2017, 07:05:34 AM »
I hear Trumpistani salesmen visited IPCC-negotiations. To get on the lighter side of things *insert joke about rapists mocking the victims*
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Sigmetnow

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Re: UN Climate Agreement - Paris 2015 and beyond
« Reply #1311 on: November 16, 2017, 01:55:28 PM »
"transportation for the Paris delegates emitted 300,000 tons of CO2."

Seriously, why isn't teleconferencing more of a thing?  Are people afraid they won't be able to speak out of turn?  ;) 
There could even be virtual "hallways" between sessions so attendees could connect with others, either individually or in small groups.

Some related movement, or at least discussion:

.@EricHolthaus asked what we're doing about emissions. I'm calling on scientists to not fly to @theAGU #AGU2017 fall meeting and instead take the train with me. More at the @UCSUSA blog: http://blog.ucsusa.org/science-blogger/one-simple-trick-to-reduce-your-carbon-footprint … #TrainToAGU
https://twitter.com/AnnaUnderTheSun/status/930873702215974913
People who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it.

AbruptSLR

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Re: UN Climate Agreement - Paris 2015 and beyond
« Reply #1312 on: November 16, 2017, 05:25:27 PM »
Here are a couple of examples of nations weaseling on their Paris Pledges:

Title: "Brazil's oil sale plans prompt fears of global fossil fuel extraction race"

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/nov/15/brazils-oil-sale-plans-undermine-its-role-at-bonn

Extract: "Government proposal to give tax relief for offshore oil would increase emissions and contradicts the nation’s progressive stance in Bonn

Climate Observatory, WWF, Greenpeace and other groups say the subsidies could spark a get-it-out-of-the-ground race with fossil fuel rivals such as the US, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Norway and the UK."

&

Title: "At Stake in Arctic Refuge Drilling Vote: Money, Wilderness and a Way of Life"

https://insideclimatenews.org/news/15112017/anwr-arctic-national-wildlife-refuge-oil-drilling-alaska-murkowski

Extract: "A Senate committee voted Wednesday to advance a plan that would allow oil drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, one of the country's last untouched wilderness areas. While the drive to open the refuge is being spearheaded by Alaska's senior senator, it's getting a mixed reaction from Alaskans who live there and rely on the land."
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
― Leon C. Megginson