A mid to late May to early to mid June Western CAB, Beaufort, Chuchki, and ESS ridge could result in a massive polyanna by July 1-10 between 75-80N in the Pacific side basin.
That is a ridiculous amount of 1.25M and thinner ice.
And it's really far North.
As soon as melt ponds form and snow is melted off. Being such thin FYI bottom ice melt will explode.
Bottom melt could start as early as June 1st.
In the 1950s to 1980s bottom ice melt didn't get going until August and even then it was pathetic.
Last summer bottom ice melt was kicking ass
I apologize but this is incredibly exciting.
We are running through new territory. This isn't some bogus Hudson bay or SOO early melt out.
The Beaufort, Baffin, Barents, Bering, and soon to be Kara and Chukchi are losing ice at an unprecedented rate for this time of year.
Insitu melt is weak but no melt/no thickening is real add that to endless cyclonic dipole pushing ice into the fram, Barents, and NATL and it gets shredded while new open water in the basin sees no to very thin new ice.
This means we currently have a record area of dark ocean dlsucking up energy.
This is the catalyst for a mid Summer epic thrust of heat directly into the Southern CAB.