-- this event will get hijacked if we don't continue to do better follow-up work than the paid professionals.
-- that is what they are getting paid for? And that is what the whole circus is all about, but we're normally quicker!
They need to
get their facts straight or go home. I propose docking their next paycheck for "48 hours" and putting it in the tip jar. Let's start with my post #805 of August 14 (420 views):
"There is quite a bit of calving ahead. Again I am not recalling this level of frontal disintegration so far upglacier. The scale here is 7.5 m per pixel [[image from Landsat B8 band]], meaning that everything 4 pixels in from the calving front will be gone tomorrow."
Do the math. 'Tomorrow' in the context of an August 14th post means August 15th. If I had intended August 16th, well the "day after tomorrow' was available for that. What part of g.o.n.e don't you understand?
Sure enough, Espen catches the 14/15th overnight event on a Modis pair so helpfully provided by DMI, puts up co-registered animations twice (posts #808 and #809, 362 views) at 10:35:17 PM and 11:01 PM followed by confirmation ruling out cloud artifacts via advanced image enhancement and a third 14-on-15 reverse animation 11:21 in my post #808, 353 views. We're still around noon on August 15 and this event has largely been consummated within a
24 hour time frame
as predicted the day before.
Remember the scientific community's
shabby treatment of Patrick Lockerby and the calving of Petermann (with the important exception of Andreas Muenchow)? I do. And Lockerby did it with physics, not just looking at satellite photos.
Espen you can run from the term 'scientist' but you cannot hide from 'Expert Observer' status, having looked at maybe 5x the number of satellite images of Greenland as the nearest scientist. And I'll go mano-a-mano with any of these clowns for who's who overall in science. Sure I explain stuff here but I can make it incomprehensibly complex (is there an audience for that?).
Meanwhile, the ESA has misinformed 2,083 visitors so far to which we could add more millions of WaPo and general internet readers. We try to arrive at the facts here and get the word out -- but so far that's only been to 420 visitors (going by count maximum under images).
So a new twist on an old saying: the bullsh*t got half way around the world even though the truth did already have its pants on. And six months from now, you'll see a journal article re-creating (
plagiarizing) the animations and analysis above (Not-Invented-Here-By-One-Of-Us).
Too bad the gear's all gone, nobody monitoring anything that we know of:
Glacier, fjord, and seismic response to recent large calving events, Jakobshavn Isbræ, Greenland
JM Amundson, M Truffer, MP Lüthi, M Fahnestock, M West, and RJ Motyka
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2008GL035281/fullDuring summer 2007 we deployed several instruments, all synchronized to UTC time, to study Jakobshavn Isbræ and its proglacial fjord before, during, and after large calving events. Three cameras took photos of the terminus and fjord every 10 minutes from 13 May to 8 June 2007, every hour from 8 June to 17 August 2007, every six hours from 23 August 2007 to 7 May 2008, and every 10 minutes from 7 May to 14 May 2008.
Ocean and seismic waves from calving events were recorded with a tide gauge and a seismometer. A Keller DC-22 pressure sensor, which has a resolution of 0.002 m, was placed in Ilulissat Harbor, 50 km west of the glacier terminus; it logged data every 10 minutes from 11 May to 22 August 2007.
A Mark Products L22 3-component velocity seismometer was placed on bedrock 1 km south of the glacier terminus and ran with a sampling frequency of 200 Hz from 17 May to 17 August 2007 and 100 Hz from 22 August to 22 November 2007 and from 9 April to 9 May 2008. The data gap in winter was due to a loss of battery power. The instrument has a natural frequency of 2 Hz and a sensitivity of 88 V s m−1.
Optical and GPS surveys were conducted to monitor iceberg and glacier motion. Six survey reflectors were placed on the lower 4 km of the glacier and surveyed every 15 minutes with a Leica automatic theodolite from 15 May to 9 June 2007. Nine dual-frequency GPS receivers were deployed higher on the glacier, five on the main flow line and four on a perpendicular transect. These units were installed between 22 May and 1 June 2007 and, except for three that failed in July, ran until 23 August 2007.
Additionally, two telemetered GPS units were placed on large icebergs; data from these were retrieved from 29 May to 8 June 2007. All GPS units logged position data every 15 seconds. The data were differentially corrected against one of two base stations located on opposite sides of the fjord. The measurement uncertainties of the optical and GPS surveys were estimated by de-trending several days of data at a time, removing extreme outliers that clearly indicate bad surveys, and calculating the root mean square errors. The errors for the optical and GPS surveys were ±0.15 m and ±0.02 m, respectively.