Ice really is moving north through the Robeson Channel currently. Clouds over the Nares have made ice watching frustrating lately so I was eagerly awaiting today's radar images on the DMI site. They're here now, and though maddingly missing data across the Hall basin, reveal interesting ice movement.
If you blink against images from the 19th you see that while ice (including remnants of the sturdy stopper) is lazily floating south through the Kennedy Channel, it is quite clearly moving north through the Robeson! That should ease the Ikea traffic jam, if we could only see it.
Looking farther up into the Lincoln Sea shows a rip where is ice is moving north on the west side of the sea and south on the east side. Check your favorite source of surface wind data (I really like earth.nullschool.net) for insight into this. Brisk winds are blowing straight up the Robeson and west Lincoln Sea driving this ice return. A little farther south in the Kennedy, winds are not as strong and apparently do not overcome the drag of the current flowing south.