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Author Topic: Hurricane season 2017  (Read 34173 times)

A-Team

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #1100 on: September 23, 2017, 07:35:16 PM »
That was a major major hurricane on US territory, so I was thinking that with 15,500 paid employees, an outfit like CBS could do better than amateur twitter sites, maybe chase down some background. However the pay scale for reporters there is shocking, $40k a year or only 2x the salary of a Walmart greeter.

Now here is a real dam failure, the worst ever in US history. No storm, zero warning, followed by denial of responsibility. The cover-up went on for years. Site selection by prominent individual with no formal education in geology, built right across a fault in tremor-prone California.

 St. Francis Dam - Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/St._Francis_Dam
Jump to Collapse and flood wave - Two and a half minutes before midnight on March 12, 1928, the St. Francis Dam catastrophically failed.

St. Francis Dam collapse left a trail of death and destruction
www.latimes.com/local/.../la-me-stfrancis-dam-retrospective-20160319-story.html
 The collapse of the St. Francis Dam on March 12, 1928, is, in terms of loss of life, the second-greatest disaster in California history. ... The death toll from the collapse varies from about 400 to more than 600. ... It swept into Castaic Junction and along the Santa Clara River bed to ...

The Flood: St. Francis Dam Disaster, William Mulholland, and the ...
https://www.kcet.org/.../the-flood-st-francis-dam-disaster-william-mulholland-and-the...
The 1928 failure of the colossal concrete structure resulted in one of the worst civic disasters in L.A. history.

Remembering California's 1928 St. Francis Dam Disaster - NBC ...
www.nbclosangeles.com/.../Francisquito-Canyon-Dam-St-Francis-Collapse-Disaster-C...
More than 400 people were killed in the March 1928 St. Francis Dam collapse, a civil engineering failure that unleashed a devastating ... some consider the failure of the St. Francis Dam to be the “worst American ...
« Last Edit: September 23, 2017, 07:43:38 PM by A-Team »

Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #1101 on: September 23, 2017, 07:43:30 PM »
"No federal agency dared on Friday to estimate how long it’ll take to re-energize Puerto Rico. If it’s any indication of how far they’ve gotten, the island’s power authority known as Prepa is only now starting to assess the damage."

A Storm's Never Destroyed a Grid Like Maria Ruined Puerto Rico's
The devastation that Maria exacted on Puerto Rico’s aging and grossly neglected electricity system when it slammed ashore as a Category 4 storm two days ago is unprecedented -- not just for the island but for all of the U.S. One hundred percent of the system run by the Puerto Rico Power Authority is offline, because Maria damaged every part of it. The territory is facing weeks, if not months, without service as utility workers repair power plants and lines that were already falling apart.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-09-22/a-storm-s-never-destroyed-a-grid-like-maria-ruined-puerto-rico-s
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A-Team

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #1102 on: September 23, 2017, 08:03:38 PM »
They could go distributed solar, 19.5¢ per watt per container of 560 x 230 watt panels already in the Caribbean, and sell off salvaged heavy copper transmission lines to China. (Where I live, people don't even wait for a storm, just darkness, before stripping out the wires.) PR has some solar already but it's largely diesel, bunker fuel and coal. But maybe the new and old protective solar tariffs apply to PR?

There will unquestionably be a huge hit to near-future economic production. However I would assume, even more so than with Canada, that 'foreign' investors own almost everything in PR in the sense of capital and control. So they would take the losses rather than PRcans.

Meanwhile defaulting on the $70 billion in current govt debt and some strategic bankruptcies affecting overseas shareholders, givens unless the US govt bails out the hedge funds again, would allow a fresh start on issuing new debt. That's $20k of debt relief for every person on the island.

http://sunelec.com/home/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Puerto_Rico_Electric_Power_Authority
« Last Edit: September 23, 2017, 08:15:18 PM by A-Team »

Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #1103 on: September 23, 2017, 08:04:40 PM »
Maria’s Forecast Path Edging Closer to Outer Banks of North Carolina
> The odds that the U.S. East Coast will see direct impacts from Maria next week have risen since Friday.
> Tropical Storm Lee 2.0 could go any number of directions in strength as well as movement.
> Invest 98E a flood threat for Mexico and West Texas; widespread heavy rains in excess of 5” (127mm)
https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/marias-forecast-path-edging-closer-outer-banks
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #1104 on: September 23, 2017, 09:09:51 PM »
"All indications are that Hurricane Maria has inflicted one of the most extreme and catastrophic weather events in American history. If the aid response is not swift, the situation in Puerto Rico has all the makings of a major humanitarian crisis."

Maria has plunged Puerto Rico into a humanitarian emergency
http://grist.org/article/maria-has-plunged-puerto-rico-into-a-humanitarian-emergency/
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Alexander555

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #1105 on: September 23, 2017, 09:54:31 PM »
If you look at the forcast for San Salvador (+ 6 million population). That's like an average for the entire country of 1000 mm (25 in) at the end of next week.

Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #1106 on: September 24, 2017, 03:03:31 AM »
Ricardo Rossello, Governor of Puerto Rico:

Thanks [New York Senator Chuck Schumer] for your call today supporting our recovery efforts & for letting #PuertoRico know that you'll be a leader for our cause.

https://twitter.com/ricardorossello/status/911754578361831425
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AbruptSLR

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #1107 on: September 24, 2017, 03:28:21 AM »
The two attached images are from Windy and Nullschool, respectively, showing that Maria is currently forecast to effect the barrier islands of North Carolina by Wednesday Sept 27 2017.
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #1108 on: September 24, 2017, 01:17:16 PM »
Lack of Communication Hinders Efforts Amid Dam Failure Fear in Puerto Rico
Engineers are assessing whether the Guajataca Dam will fail after Hurricane Maria dumped 15 inches of rain on the area, swelling a man-made lake. But there was a lack of basic information about the potentially catastrophic breach, which was said to affect the towns of Isabela, Quebradillas and San Sebastian.

At first, authorities — including the governor’s office — had said up to 70,000 people could be affected. But local officials said the number of evacuated was much smaller. In Isabella, the mayor's office said a little more than 200 people were in shelters.
...
As of 1:55 p.m. Saturday, the weather service said "dam operators continued to report the threat of a failure of the Guajataca Dam, potentially causing life-threatening flash flooding downstream on Rio Guajataca."

"We were able to directly observe the damages of the Guajataca dam," Gov. Ricardo Rossello said on Twitter Saturday. "We re-affirm the evacuation order for the area." ...
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/lack-communication-amid-dam-failure-fears-hurricane-damaged-puerto-rico-n804236
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #1109 on: September 24, 2017, 01:21:23 PM »
Tropical Storm Pilar

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Pilar Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP182017
400 AM CDT Sun Sep 24 2017

...PILAR BRINGING HEAVY RAIN TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 105.6W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #1110 on: September 24, 2017, 01:27:34 PM »
...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER FINDS THAT MARIA IS SLIGHTLY WEAKER... ...INTERESTS ALONG THE CAROLINA AND MID-ATLANTIC COASTS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA...
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #1111 on: September 24, 2017, 01:38:17 PM »
If you look at the forcast for San Salvador (+ 6 million population). That's like an average for the entire country of 1000 mm (25 in) at the end of next week.

Persistent band of precipitation (image below from Storm app); far reaches of GFS suggest it could organize and form a tropical system in October.
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #1112 on: September 24, 2017, 04:02:41 PM »
Wow. Heartbreaking satellite loop, when you realize what it is: Maria knocking out Puerto Rico's power, clouds illuminated by moonlight.
     https://twitter.com/ericholthaus/status/911945817119969281

@iCyclone check this out: [see link at the Twitter link below]
https://twitter.com/aletweetsnews/status/911815381811113989
GIF at the link.
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #1113 on: September 24, 2017, 04:48:13 PM »
Remember that time when we had a ton of named storms, and no ACE? Oh how things change.
2017 Atlantic YTD ACE 3rd behind 2004 and 1933
https://twitter.com/splillo/status/911961175935655936
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #1114 on: September 24, 2017, 05:12:21 PM »
Article and video with dozens of clips of Caribbean storm aftermath.

Puerto Rico's weather forecasters fight worry and fatigue to stay focused
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2017/09/21/us/inside-puerto-rico-nws-office-trnd/index.html


Edit:  More on Caribbean:
Hurricane Maria: Puerto Rico officials describe 'apocalyptic' conditions
http://www.cnn.com/2017/09/24/americas/hurricane-maria-puerto-rico-aftermath/index.html
« Last Edit: September 24, 2017, 05:53:03 PM by Sigmetnow »
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #1115 on: September 24, 2017, 05:15:36 PM »
NHC Atlantic Ops: Hurricane #Lee Advisory 26: Tiny Lee a Little Stronger.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/cyclones/
      https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/911965962840231937


By the way, Lee formed earlier this month, weakened, died, and then regenerated a few days ago. Therefore Zombie Hurricane
https://twitter.com/TerpWeather/status/911960114021756928
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #1116 on: Today at 03:33:13 PM »
This article is U.S.-centric, but offers a glimpse into how fruit, nut and vegetable supplies will soon be affected by Hurricane Irma's damage in Florida.

https://weloveweather.tv/price-favorite-drink-expect-stores-irma/
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