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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #700 on: September 09, 2017, 04:16:49 PM »
The Florida interstates are "green" -- traffic is OK.
If you need help to get to a safe place, it is available!
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #701 on: September 09, 2017, 04:19:47 PM »
Per gov't: Initial damage from one island in Turks and Caicos to exceed $500M
Cost of damage in the Caribbean from #Irma will be enormous.
https://twitter.com/SteveBowenWx/status/906509614333792256
Details at the link.
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #702 on: September 09, 2017, 04:24:05 PM »
South Carolina, just inland from the coast.

NWS Columbia:
Please RT so our guests can access life saving info when we issue watches, warnings, and advisories over the next several days. #Irma
https://twitter.com/NWSColumbia/status/906516114657746944
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #703 on: September 09, 2017, 04:29:27 PM »
Miami, Florida.

How forecasters will ride out Hurricane Irma at the National Hurricane Center
https://twitter.com/usatodayweather/status/906515809769607168
Photo below.

Article:
How forecasters will ride out Hurricane Irma
http://amp.usatoday.com/story/648545001/
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #704 on: September 09, 2017, 04:34:53 PM »
SSTs about 1F above avg along the path. A little extra fuel for the fire? Yes. But the lack of shear would produce huge storm regardless.
https://twitter.com/ericfisher/status/906249276174499840
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #705 on: September 09, 2017, 04:43:36 PM »
A reasonable worst case scenario has over half of Key West underwater due to storm surge
This is why @NWSKeyWest is saying to get out #irma
https://twitter.com/gdimeweather/status/906523899424333824


NWS Key West:
@ToddHarmeson @NWSDirector @NWS Our office is rated to handle a category 5 hurricane & an internal 220 mph+ storm bunker; elevated 15 feet above MSL. We save lives!
https://twitter.com/NWSKeyWest/status/906513636759408641

Shelter of Last Resort. No services available. Go there if you feel unsafe. #Irma #FLwx #FLKeys
Coral Shores HS; (MM89.9 ocean side)
Marathon HS; (MM 50 ocean side)
Sugarloaf School; (MM 19 gulf side)
Key West HS; (MM 2)
https://twitter.com/NWSKeyWest/status/906504118017171456
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #706 on: September 09, 2017, 04:47:04 PM »
Here is the latest Keys Tourism Advisory regarding category 4 Hurricane #Irma, as compiled and transmitted by @thefloridakeys. #FLwx
https://twitter.com/nwskeywest/status/906493583133495296
Image at the link.
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #707 on: September 09, 2017, 05:01:41 PM »
Latest surge forecast for #OaklandPark and #FtLauderdale  @NBC 6  #NBC6
https://twitter.com/AdamBergNBC6/status/906527229991153664

Here is the lates surge forecast for #MiamiBeach and #NorthMiami. @NBC6 #NBC6
https://twitter.com/AdamBergNBC6/status/906528667655958530

Here is the latest surge forecast for #SouthBeach and #Miami.
https://mobile.twitter.com/AdamBergNBC6/status/906529057910685696

http://www.nbcmiami.com/weather/
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #708 on: September 09, 2017, 05:04:38 PM »
11am EDT update

Hurricane #Irma has weakened to a Cat. 3 with max winds of 125 mph. Expected to re-intensify before hitting Florida.
https://twitter.com/afreedma/status/906533121952243713

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT1+shtml/091457.shtml
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #709 on: September 09, 2017, 05:10:10 PM »
I cannot overstate the severity of storm surge risk to west Florida. 8 ft Tampa, 10-15 ft #Naples/#FortMyers. If ordered to leave, GO! #Irma
https://twitter.com/MichaelRLowry/status/906532856259858432

The forecast for Tampa is looking increasingly dire.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/three-possible-scenarios-for-hurricane-irmas-landfall-in-florida-none-of-them-are-good
https://twitter.com/ericholthaus/status/906534633357148163
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #710 on: September 09, 2017, 05:12:41 PM »
All ECMWF ensembles show significant intensification once #Irma leaves Cuba.  Even though storm is slightly weaker, won't be for long.
https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/906534996411904000
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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #711 on: September 09, 2017, 05:56:58 PM »
.

Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #712 on: September 09, 2017, 06:27:07 PM »
The Latest: Total asked to evacuate Hurricane Irma nears 7 Million
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/energy-environment/the-latest-alabama-issues-state-of-emergency-ahead-of-irma/2017/09/08/e0198e74-94f3-11e7-8482-8dc9a7af29f9_story.html

Edit:
Potentially the largest evacuation in U.S. history.  No traffic tie-ups as of now on major highways.
« Last Edit: September 09, 2017, 06:47:24 PM by Sigmetnow »
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #713 on: September 09, 2017, 06:49:07 PM »
Current worst-case storm surge (10-15ft) in Ft. Meyers/Naples area of SW Florida.
More than a million people live here, up >29% since 2010.
https://twitter.com/ericholthaus/status/906559020307230721
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #714 on: September 09, 2017, 06:50:55 PM »
Touch of good news...eyewall of Cat. 4 #Jose missed #Irma ravaged #Barbuda. (Radar: MeteoFrance)
https://twitter.com/wxjerdman/status/906558502470123520

And a by a pretty good distance too, also going to miss the other Irma-ravaged islands
https://mobile.twitter.com/TerpWeather/status/906560066974871552
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #715 on: September 09, 2017, 06:52:10 PM »
NHC 11am track

Peak winds Sunday

Miami-Dade & Broward
75-85 MPH

Upper Keys
85-90 MPH

Middle Keys
up to 130 MPH

Lower Keys
Up to 170 MPH
https://twitter.com/johnmoralesnbc6/status/906539456089509889
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #716 on: September 09, 2017, 06:56:43 PM »
#Irma in Florida will not be just a coastal event, and strong winds will occur outside the cone.  Widespread power outages likely.
https://twitter.com/DrRickKnabb/status/906560104711024648

NWS Miami:
A tornado watch has been issued for parts of Florida until 12 AM EDT
https://twitter.com/NWSMiami/status/906549736555077633
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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #717 on: September 09, 2017, 08:00:18 PM »
Q: Most vulnerable city in U.S., 7th vulnerable globally, according to a recent World Bank study?
A: Tampa, FL
 ???
...and it seems they also got quite a real estate boom - at sea level. :o
Sorry for not being sorry, FL sooo deserves getting hit right there.

We might now be witnessing the first instance where Klimakatastrophe (as we say in German since the 1980ies) leads to financial catastrophe...
« Last Edit: September 09, 2017, 08:06:07 PM by Martin Gisser »

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #718 on: September 09, 2017, 08:15:59 PM »
Oh heck, maybe I shouldn't have said/thought that  :'(
Seeing live pictures from near Fort Myers on MSNBC. A huuuuge crowd of folks outside a stadium, seeking shelter. Eerily reminds me of New Orleans...

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #719 on: September 09, 2017, 08:50:58 PM »
"Touch of good news...eyewall of Cat. 4 #Jose missed #Irma ravaged #Barbuda. (Radar: MeteoFrance)"

Thanks Sigmetnow for that.
Some crazy speculations about José aren't helping so far.
Hopefully some sort of sense of security now can be seen in this area on the islands.
What concerns me along with the rest so far is the situation on St. Maarten, involving the shortages and abandonment.
Very good news no double hit for them and Barbuda.

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #720 on: September 09, 2017, 08:59:45 PM »
Tampa...

Great WaPo article from July 28, 2017:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2017/health/environment/tampa-bay-climate-change/
Quote
The area is due for a major hurricane, and it is not prepared. If a big one scores a direct hit, the damage would likely surpass Katrina.

Interview with author Darryl Fears:
https://www.marketplace.org/2017/09/06/economy/hurricane-irma-could-cause-serious-damage-tampa-bay
quoth
Quote
Ryssdal: Has to be said though, that for all the building that's happening, and all the the real estate deals that are happening in that area, there are some people trying to make folks pay attention.

Fears: Oh there are. And they are creating some awareness there and I think that they're going to get on the ball with this. But it takes a lot to ramp up resilience to climate change. It takes a great deal of work, and they're just not there yet.

Ryssdal: For all the work that is being done you point out and in fact you end the piece with this little tidbit, the real estate market in Tampa-St. Pete: booming.

Fears: It is hot, especially near the water and what people do in these areas near the coast, in most areas they require you if you build a new property to at least build three feet higher than the property that was there. And in this case you have rich people just buying middle-class people's homes, destroying them, and sticking a McMansion on the lot.

---------------------------
Hear Rick Scott's (R) political death knell in the distance? Yes, Mr. Pruitt (R-EPA), prolly not the time to talk about Holocene climate breakdown with you...
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/politics/wp/2017/09/07/at-a-moment-climate-change-is-hard-to-ignore-the-epa-is-being-pointed-elsewhere/
« Last Edit: September 09, 2017, 09:06:04 PM by Martin Gisser »

Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #721 on: September 09, 2017, 11:26:04 PM »
NHC 5p advisory says high confidence in track. Hard for Keys & SW Florida to avoid historically awful hurricane: 

Dangerous Hurricane Irma bears down on Florida, its brunt targeting the Keys to Tampa
https://www.washingtonpost.com/amphtml/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2017/09/09/dangerous-hurricane-irma-bears-down-on-florida-its-brunt-targeting-the-keys-to-tampa/

https://twitter.com/capitalweather/status/906628371634905088
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #722 on: September 09, 2017, 11:30:42 PM »
Devastating scenarios: GFS & Euro model show #Irma landfall in vicinity Naples & Ft. Myers Sunday PM:
https://twitter.com/capitalweather/status/906612717259251713
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #723 on: September 09, 2017, 11:31:54 PM »
Here are the lastest tropical weather advisories for Florida.  For more info, go to (link: http://www.cbsmiami.com/tropics)
https://twitter.com/CraigSetzer/status/906628442095063040

Edit:
Bryan Norcross, hurricane specialist: Really stunning to see entire Florida peninsula under hurricane warnings.  "I have never, ever seen something like that.  I really doubt, without looking it up in the history books, that has ever happened [before]. It's just unbelievable."
« Last Edit: September 10, 2017, 01:42:26 AM by Sigmetnow »
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #724 on: September 09, 2017, 11:34:40 PM »
This was the NHC forecast from MONDAY September 4. Amazing accuracy from the mets at NHC.
https://twitter.com/spann/status/906502559480860672
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #725 on: September 09, 2017, 11:39:40 PM »
New study: #HurricaneHarvey delivered widespread "25,000-year" rains & isolated "500,000-year" rains. (not a typo!!)
https://twitter.com/ClimateSignals/status/906519198733651969

Hurricane Harvey – Extraordinary Flooding for Houston and Surrounding Areas
Quote
The analysis finds that Harvey brought 1,000-year rains over a 24-hour period over much of the Houston, Galveston, and areas extending east all the way to Louisiana.

In addition, the storm delivered wide-spread 25,000-year rains over a 120-hour period, and isolated locations witnessed 500,000-year rains over a 120-hour period. ...
  http://www.climatesignals.org/scientific-reports/hurricane-harvey-–-extraordinary-flooding-houston-and-surrounding-areas
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #726 on: September 09, 2017, 11:44:01 PM »
 :o

How serious is #Irma threat in Tampa?  Propositioning of heavy track vehicles.
https://twitter.com/CraigSetzer/status/906632996685586432

...Meanwhile in Tampa, I just heard a noise outside my house & grabbed my cell ... Now back to making the coffee
https://twitter.com/Tim_Dorsey/status/906620217127837698
Video at the link.
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #727 on: September 09, 2017, 11:45:15 PM »
NWS Miami:
*ALERT: There is imminent danger of life-threatening, CATASTROPHIC storm surge for SW #Florida. If ordered to evacuate, do so immediately!
https://twitter.com/NWSMiami/status/906541991563075586
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #728 on: September 09, 2017, 11:52:52 PM »
Man in Key West -- who are you and why are you still there? Get out!
Southern-most point live webcam:  https://t.co/LxFqt81wjt
https://twitter.com/angelafritz/status/906633744559362052

The number of people on live cameras on Key West is astounding. Please realize that your actual life is in danger.
https://twitter.com/TTrogdon/status/906633628599422978

Hurricane #Irma reminding this guy in Key West he should have evacuated. #FirstAlertWX
https://twitter.com/wxgarrett/status/906619121823047680
Video at the link.

Edit:
That whole buoy will probably be underwater tomorrow morning
https://twitter.com/ericfisher/status/906632582896537600
« Last Edit: September 10, 2017, 12:16:32 AM by Sigmetnow »
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #729 on: September 09, 2017, 11:57:06 PM »
NHC Atlantic Ops:
There is an imminent danger of life-threatening storm surge flooding in portions of central and southern Florida, including the Keys
https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/906632682188234759
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #730 on: September 09, 2017, 11:58:02 PM »
Reasonable worst case scenario of surge inundation in Ft. Myers, Fla fm @NHC_Atlantic. Red=greater than 9 feet [2.74 m] above ground. A lot of red.
https://twitter.com/afreedma/status/906632641423839232
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #731 on: September 10, 2017, 12:02:11 AM »
Geographic restrictions lifted on the Hurricane Irma livestream from @nbc6. Thanks to all who alerted me about that!
https://www.nbcmiami.com/news/local/Watch-Live-NBC-6-News-204316851.html

https://twitter.com/JohnMoralesNBC6/status/906632467033059328
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #732 on: September 10, 2017, 12:14:28 AM »
#Irma is expected to produce heavy rainfall over much of Florida and Georgia @NWSWPC
https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/906631816576208896
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #733 on: September 10, 2017, 12:26:54 AM »
Florida has some of the best building codes in the nation....unfortunately almost 80% of non Miami-Dade homes were built prior to enactment.
https://twitter.com/auburn_windengr/status/906293998536593413
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #734 on: September 10, 2017, 12:34:32 AM »
Royal Engineers and Marine Commandos have arrived in #tortola to help. One woman said she cried tears of joy to see help arrive
https://twitter.com/BBCLBicker/status/906646453849817088
Photo at the link.
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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #735 on: September 10, 2017, 12:37:11 AM »
TORNADO WARNING for parts of Broward.  Check  (link: http://www.cbsmiami.com) cbsmiami.com

https://twitter.com/CraigSetzer/status/906646450930581504
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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #736 on: September 10, 2017, 12:45:08 AM »
:o

How serious is #Irma threat in Tampa?  Propositioning of heavy track vehicles.
https://twitter.com/CraigSetzer/status/906632996685586432

...Meanwhile in Tampa, I just heard a noise outside my house & grabbed my cell ... Now back to making the coffee
https://twitter.com/Tim_Dorsey/status/906620217127837698
Video at the link.

Check your twitter - CNN and CBS want to use your "noise outside my house".

Stay safe!!!!!
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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #737 on: September 10, 2017, 12:48:11 AM »
Global Warming and Hurricanes
An Overview of Current Research Results

https://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/global-warming-and-hurricanes/


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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #738 on: September 10, 2017, 12:50:36 AM »
Man in Key West -- who are you and why are you still there? Get out!
Southern-most point live webcam:  https://t.co/LxFqt81wjt
https://twitter.com/angelafritz/status/906633744559362052

The number of people on live cameras on Key West is astounding. Please realize that your actual life is in danger.
https://twitter.com/TTrogdon/status/906633628599422978

Hurricane #Irma reminding this guy in Key West he should have evacuated. #FirstAlertWX
https://twitter.com/wxgarrett/status/906619121823047680
Video at the link.

Edit:
That whole buoy will probably be underwater tomorrow morning
https://twitter.com/ericfisher/status/906632582896537600
Lots of suicidals and stupid around there! MSNBC had some live coverage of a fire dept's last check of the floodplain.
Looks like were going to see scenes like after Katrina, dead corpses floating in the waters...

Martin Gisser

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #739 on: September 10, 2017, 12:53:55 AM »

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #740 on: September 10, 2017, 12:59:51 AM »
Reporters: brave, or foolish?  I vote brave.

Quote
As Hurricane Irma spins into South Florida on Saturday, New Times staff are scattered across Dade and Broward counties to document the huge storm's impact on the region. We'll update this post all day long with the latest on the ground in the path of the biggest Atlantic hurricane on record.
http://www.miaminewtimes.com/news/hurricane-irma-live-blog-9659109
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #741 on: September 10, 2017, 01:13:27 AM »
Weather Channel Goes Into Overdrive Covering Back-to-Back Hurricanes
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/09/business/media/weather-channel-hurricane-irma.html
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #742 on: September 10, 2017, 01:33:18 AM »
:o

How serious is #Irma threat in Tampa?  Propositioning of heavy track vehicles.
https://twitter.com/CraigSetzer/status/906632996685586432

...Meanwhile in Tampa, I just heard a noise outside my house & grabbed my cell ... Now back to making the coffee
https://twitter.com/Tim_Dorsey/status/906620217127837698
Video at the link.

Check your twitter - CNN and CBS want to use your "noise outside my house".

Stay safe!!!!!

Not sure where Tim is located, but he seems to be a tough sort of guy.  ;)
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #743 on: September 10, 2017, 01:35:08 AM »
#Irma's pressure is down to 933 mb - the last U.S. landfalling hurricane with a lower pressure was Katrina & Florida landfall was Andrew.
https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/906623341179527168
Satellite GIF at the link.
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #744 on: September 10, 2017, 01:54:55 AM »
Coordinated Response in Caribbean to Hurricane Irma Continues while Supporting Preparations in the U.S. Mainland
Quote
Staff from the FEMA Caribbean Area Division are on the ground in Puerto Rico to provide support to Commonwealth and local officials as requested.  Additionally, FEMA Incident Management Assistance Teams (IMAT) are deployed to the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, and a FEMA Urban Search and Rescue Incident Support Team-Advance element and Virginia Task Force Two (VA-TF2) are on the ground on the U.S. Virgin Islands conducting operations.  Six Mobile Emergency Response Support (MERS) personnel also are deployed to support communications needs for the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. ...
https://www.fema.gov/news-release/2017/09/09/coordinated-response-caribbean-hurricane-irma-continues-while-supporting
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #745 on: September 10, 2017, 01:57:43 AM »
Houston:
Eldridge and Enclave today, where Buffalo Bayou is receding. /cc @mattlanza @JeffLindner1 #houston #harvey
https://twitter.com/dtoio/status/906658736017690624
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #746 on: September 10, 2017, 01:59:57 AM »
Multiple tornado warnings already.

Areas of rotation are stacking up out in the Atlantic.  It will likely be a long night of bad weather.  Stay alert.
https://twitter.com/CraigSetzer/status/906663717269635073
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #747 on: September 10, 2017, 02:06:25 AM »
The Weather Channel live in Miami.
Hurricane Irma has not yet started to move north from Cuba.
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logicmanPatrick

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #748 on: September 10, 2017, 03:02:02 AM »
Hurricane Irma is literally sucking the water away from shorelines   Washingon Post

Explanation in article of how low pressure sucks water up and away from shorelines.

twitter picture.
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Hurricane season 2017
« Reply #749 on: September 10, 2017, 03:28:55 AM »
Wow.  Miami storm video.

Intense #SouthBeach #SaturdayNight
#HurricaneIrma
#Curfew now.... 8p-7a
@WPLGLocal10
https://twitter.com/GlennaOn10/status/906678202508214272
Video at the link.
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