Im a little confused about the numbers.
Not sure what dates and values are exactly taken, because normally
1.2012
2.2007
My guess, 2017 was a catastrophic begin, this year isnt this much better, the pacific side is just ugly.
But we have a solar minimum, we have good snow cover, summer tended to be cool lately.
So my guess is place 8, not saying this is the most likely outcome, but i want to seperate me from some people, dont know what in their mind, but i saw predictions from experts saying every year 0 or so, what is in thier head, are they fanatic in their not working models, or what is the reason ?
And of course, if we would put money for the bet, im the only with this outcome, so i dont need 25% or 20%.
But who knows the propabilitys exactly ?
Ice thickness is not this bad in some areas, im not sure how damaging a weaker chucki is.