In a free and fair election, I would expect a landslide for Biden, unfortunately, we don't live in that sort of democracy.
Since this is a measure of actual votes (not electoral votes), I'm leaning towards a 2-5% win by Biden.
I'm an optimistic cynic ...
Remember ... Past is Prologue ...---------------------------------------
Expert: Georgia Election Server Showed Signs of Tampering (2016)https://apnews.com/article/39dad9d39a7533efe06e0774615a6d05BOSTON (AP) — A computer security expert says he found that a forensic image of the election server central to a legal battle over the integrity of Georgia elections showed signs that the original server was hacked.
The server was left exposed to the open internet for at least six months, a problem the same expert discovered in August 2016. It was subsequently wiped clean in mid-2017 with no notice, just days after election integrity activists filed a lawsuit seeking an overhaul of what they called the state’s unreliable and negligently run election system.
The expert determined that computer logs — which would have been critical to understanding what might have been altered on or stolen from the server — only go back to Nov. 10, 2016 — two days after Donald Trump was elected U.S. president. Two years later, Brian Kemp won the Georgia governor’s race by a narrow margin over Democrat Stacey Abrams.
Kemp oversaw Georgia’s elections during both races as secretary of state. Election administration was handled at Kennesaw State University by an outfit that Kemp’s office dismantled after the server-wiping incident.
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Researchers Assembled over 100 Voting Machines. Hackers Broke Into Every Single One.https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2019/09/defcon-2019-hacking-village/A cybersecurity exercise highlights both new and unaddressed vulnerabilities riddling US election systems
Report: https://media.defcon.org/DEF%20CON%2027/voting-village-report-defcon27.pdf“Once again, Voting Village participants were able to find new ways, or replicate previously published methods, of compromising every one of the devices in the room,” the authors wrote, pointing out that every piece of assembled equipment is certified for use in at least one US jurisdiction. The report’s authors, some of whom have been involved with election machine security research going back more than a decade, noted that in most cases the participants tested voting equipment “they had no prior knowledge of or experience” in a “challenging setting ” with less time and resources than attackers would be assumed to marshal.
Ultimately, the report notes flaws that have been acknowledged for years.
“As disturbing as this outcome is, we note that it is at this point an unsurprising result,” the authors conclude. “However, it is notable—and especially disappointing—that many of the specific vulnerabilities reported over a decade earlier…are still present in these systems today.”
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Senate GOP Blocks Three Election Security Bills (2020)https://thehill.com/homenews/house/482569-senate-gop-blocks-three-election-security-bills----------------------------------
Did Anonymous Stop Rove From Stealing the Election?(2012)https://www.salon.com/2012/11/20/did_anonymous_stop_rove_stealing_the_election/Short answer: Yes!
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Greg Palast: Ethnic Votes Stolen in Crucial States (2016)https://www.gregpalast.com/ethnic-votes-stolen-crucial-states-help-fix-us-election-trump-reveals-greg-palast/... Trump’s increasing hysteria about vote rigging served as the ultimate smokescreen for a Republican systematic denial of hundreds of thousands of crucial votes in the name of preventing fraud. (Crosscheck fiasco)
... This inherent bias results in an astonishing one in six Hispanics, one in seven Asian-Americans and one in nine African-Americans in Crosscheck states landing on what Palast dubs “Trump’s hit list.”
... Palast’s investigators calculated 1.1 million people, many spread over crucial swing states were deprived of their right to vote last Tuesday. (2016)
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https://publicintegrity.org/politics/elections/ballotboxbarriers/trump-reshaped-courts-lawsuits-limit-voting/... Leaders of some large corporations like Blackstone and Charles Schwab are bankrolling the legal fight to keep people from voting, and some of the cases are being heard by judge. (hand selected by Koch Bros) that were appointed by Trump and confirmed by a Republican Senate that has been almost singularly focused on packing the judiciary with conservatives after holding positions vacant during the Obama administration.
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Texas Republicans Ask Federal Judge to Throw Out 117,000 Legally Cast Ballots (2020)https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/10/texas-drive-through-voting-throw-out-ballots.ampTexas Republicans have asked a federal judge to throw out at least 117,000 ballots cast in Harris County, a heavily Democratic area that has experienced an unprecedented surge in early voting this month. The brazen effort to undo legally cast ballots in a diverse, populous county is an eleventh-hour attempt to diminish Joe Biden’s chances of carrying the swing state on Nov. 3. Republicans claim that Harris County’s use of drive-thru voting violates the U.S. Constitution, requiring the judge to throw out every ballot cast this way—more than 117,000 as of Friday. This argument is outrageous and absurd. But the case landed in front of U.S. District Judge Andrew Hanen, one of the most notoriously partisan conservatives in the federal judiciary. Democrats have good reason to fear that Hanen will order the mass nullification of ballots as early as Nov. 2, when he has scheduled a hearing.
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https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,2441.msg291631.html#msg291631https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,2441.msg291585.html#msg291585https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,2441.msg291360.html#msg291360--------------------------------
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... and that barely scratches the surface
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