SATire.....actually, my original question was whether we might see some of the MYI remaining in the Beaufort when we reach the annual minimum in September. This is what I meant by rebound in minimum SIE in the Beaufort. I realize I did not write this very clearly.
The second comment where I pointed out Lawrence's stupid suggestion that sea ice had rebounded followed by this ";-)" was to let you know that I got your joke.
The simple retort to Lawrence's suggestion is that water freezes when it gets cold. For the time being, the Arctic temperatures drop sufficiently to cause water to freeze. My half in jest suggestion of a new measure, BICOT, is to capture this rather obvious fact and then poke fun at those who suggest a winter freeze is in any way a rebound. In fact, an increasing spread between min and max is evidence of a rapidly deteriorating arctic. If you go back to the posted graph from NSIDC, in the first ten years (the 1980's) the spread increases very little, if at all. This spread begins to grow at a fairly healthy clip after the 1980's. As new minimums are reached, it will continue to do so. When we reach a summer ice free arctic, the increase in spread will slow or stop and then (perhaps?) reverse and begin to shrink as the winter max shrinking begins to close this spread.
BICOT (Baby it's cold out there!) was a humorous jab at any purported scientist who points to the winter freeze as evidence of a rebound. I have a mental image of some real climate scientist on a lonely Greenland research post coming into his station and rubbing his hands in the middle of the dark arctic winter and saying "Baby, it's cold out there!" to his fellow scientist. Once I decided that BICOT was the name of the new measure, I spent a lot of time trying to find some real scientific terms that could be used to explain BICOT.
After a lot of trials, I came up with "Bifurcated Intra-annual Cryosphere Oscillation Trend". I am actually quite proud of this one.
"Bifurcated" captures the fact that the links between min and max SIE (a stable historic spread) have been severed due to AGW.
"Intra-annual" explains that the measure tracks the spread between min and max for each year.
"Cryosphere" is self explanatory.
"Oscillation" is the natural movement between min and max that occurs annually.
The "Trend" is the change in this spread between min and max over time.
