The Low that is getting ready to set up over warmer water near the Weddell Sea starts out with a twin directly over the ice. The two systems will convey circulation of air between them. After a couple days, one Low will be left over the Sea. One area in particular near the shore will be most affected by waves, until about the 3rd of Feb. when waves will set further offshore and attack another area of ice. Winds will not be terribly strong from these, but will persist over a long time. The Peninsula which usually protects the sea ice, will be on the wrong side of this all. I am not even trying to begin to guess the outcome for the sea ice, but noting the possibility that it could be bad.