Anyone else in North America getting the feeling spring is coming early this year? I'm in southeastern Minnesota and I've noticed a few things that make me think winter's on its way out sooner rather than later.
#1: 60s have been back and forth in Iowa, Nebraska, and South Dakota all winter long. The cold hasn't been able to persistently build very far south this winter. 70s have been in Kansas. We've had the jet stream wavering back and forth over top of us for most of winter bouncing us back and forth between warm and cool, rather than far to our south keeping is locked in cold air. As this pattern starts to move north with the seasons, we'll soon be solidly on the warm side of things.
#2. #1 is a direct effect of upper level pattern changes: the Ridiculously Resilient Ridge (RRR) over the west coast and the semi-persistent downstream east coast trough pattern has generally moved several hundred miles east, and even been prone to flattening out at times. This keeps us out of the direct path of Arctic outbreaks and more on the sidelines. The previous location of the setup had led to us being one of the coldest places in the world relative to average for about 2 years. It sucks in the winter but last summer was amazing. Statistically that's unlikely to last and I think we're seeing it break down with the pattern shift to the east.
#3: A generally positive trend in the Arctic Oscillation index so far this winter is predicted to continue by the CPC.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao.shtml#4. Maple trees are entering budswell several weeks early.
#5. A distinct increase in bird activity over the last two weeks. It's downright loud outside with birds around here at times. I've also heard but not seen for myself that the deer are especially active lately, but I cannot verify that.
#6. We can't keep a decent snowpack this winter and there's not much going on to our south or west either.
http://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/snow_model/images/full/National/nsm_depth/201502/nsm_depth_2015020905_National.jpg It might keep snowing through spring but we've been on the border of snow and freezing rain all winter so again I think as soon as that border starts to shift north with the seasons we're going to be solidly on the warm side of it.